Early Forecasts for 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season

10 04 2019

Dale C. S. Destin |

Our early season forecast for the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season is out and it calls for above normal activity (an active season) being most likely. It calls for an accumulated energy (ACE) index of 124, 13 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.

2019 Atl Hurricane Season Forecast

A typical season has 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. Major hurricanes have sustained wind speeds of at least 178 km/h or 111 miles per hour (e.g., Category 3 or higher), according to the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season, although above normal, did not have any severe impact on the Caribbean, except for Cuba where Hurricane Michael was a factor and to a lesser extend Barbados where Tropical Storm Kirk caused flooding. The season had 15 named storms, 8 became hurricanes – winds of at least 119 km/h or 74 miles per hour, and 2 became major hurricanes.

If this forecast pans out, this season would have similar activity to that of the 2018 season.

The Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1 and concludes on November 30.

We will be providing monthly updates to the forecast until August. The first update will be issued around May 10.

According to other forecasts surveyed, the consensus is for an ACE of 99, 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes – near normal season. Thus, our forecast is generally calling for higher activity than most. However, regardless of the forecast, you should always prepare the same each season as it only takes one hurricane to ruin your year and or life.

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