May’s Update: 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast

16 05 2019

Dale C. S. Destin |

Our updated forecast for the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season is out and it continues to call for above normal activity (an active season) being most likely. However, the probability of this happening has dropped a bit from 49% to 45% – previous forecast. It calls for an accumulated energy (ACE) index of 113 (down 11), 12 named storms (down 1), 7 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes (down 1).

May's Update: 2019 Hurricane Season Forecast

A typical season has 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. Major hurricanes have sustained wind speeds of at least 178 km/h or 111 miles per hour (e.g., Category 3 or higher), according to the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

According to other forecasts surveyed, the consensus is for an ACE of 102, 12 named storms, 5 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes – near to above normal season. This is consistent with my forecast. However, regardless of the forecast, you should always prepare the same each season as it only takes one hurricane to ruin your year and or life.

The Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1 and concludes November 30.

The next update will be issued around June 10.

Please share this blog, if you found it useful and follow me for more on the upcoming hurricane season and all things weather and climate – TwitterFacebook and Instagram.


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